Volume Spread Analysis in forex is a trading method that helps traders analyze the relationship between price movement, volume, and spread (the difference between the high and low of a price bar).
VSA is a method of analyzing the Forex market by looking at three key factors:
Volume: The amount of trading activity during a given period.
Spread: The difference between the high and low prices within a particular price bar.
Price: The direction of price movement (up, down, or unchanged).
The core idea behind VSA is that volume reveals the activity of professional traders or smart money in the market.
When you can understand how the smart money is positioning itself, you gain a better sense of where the market might be headed.
When you look at how volume changes in relation to price spread, VSA helps traders identify market strength or weakness, potential reversals, and continuation patterns.
In This Post
The Basics of Volume Spread Analysis for Forex Trading
1. Volume
Volume tells you how much trading activity is taking place. In the Forex market, this is often represented by the tick volume (the number of price changes during a specific time period) because true volume data isn’t always available.
A high volume bar means there’s a lot of interest in that price level, while low volume suggests limited activity.
2. Spread
This refers to the range between the high and low of a price bar. A wide spread indicates that prices moved significantly during that period, while a narrow spread suggests minimal movement.
When analyzing the spread in combination with volume, you can get information about the balance between buyers and sellers.
3. Price Movement
The direction of the price bar whether it’s up, down, or unchanged tells you where the market pressure is heading.
When you analyze how the price moves with changes in volume, you can see if the market is being controlled by buyers (bulls) or sellers (bears).
How Volume Spread Analysis Works in Forex Trading
1. Effort vs. Result
This concept compares the effort (volume) with the result (price movement). When the effort (high volume) matches the result (a strong price move in the same direction), it indicates that the market is aligned with that trend.
For example, if you see a high volume on an up move with a wide spread, it suggests that buying pressure is driving the market upward. This is a sign of strength.
On the other hand, if you see high volume but little price movement (a narrow spread), it means that there’s a struggle between buyers and sellers, and the market may be preparing for a reversal.
2. No Demand/No Supply Bars
A Demand bar is a price bar with low volume and a narrow spread that moves upward. It shows a lack of interest from buyers and often indicates that an uptrend might be losing momentum.
A No Supply bar is a price bar with low volume and a narrow spread that moves downward. It indicates a lack of selling pressure and can suggest that a downtrend is losing steam, potentially signalling a buying opportunity.
3. Climactic Action
Climactic Action refers to a scenario where there is an extremely high volume accompanied by a wide price spread. It often marks the end of a strong trend.
For example, in an uptrend, a climactic up bar (high volume, wide spread up) may signal that buyers have exhausted their strength, and a reversal could be near.
Similarly, in a downtrend, a climactic down bar can indicate that selling pressure is drying up, potentially leading to a price rebound.
Applying Volume Spread Analysis in Forex Trading
1. Identify the Trend
Before looking at volume and spread, determine the market trend. Is it trending up, down, or moving sideways? VSA is most effective when used in trending markets, as volume and spread give clearer signals in these conditions.
2. Look for Clues in Volume
During an uptrend, look for signs of climactic volume. If the volume spikes significantly during an upward price move but the next bars struggle to continue higher, it could indicate that the trend is losing momentum.
In a downtrend, watch for climactic selling. A high volume down bar followed by a reversal could suggest that sellers are done selling, and buyers might step in.
3. Spot No Demand or No Supply Bars
During a pullback in an uptrend, a No Supply bar can signal a good opportunity to buy if the overall trend remains intact. It suggests that there’s no significant selling pressure, allowing the uptrend to continue.
In a downtrend, a No Demand bar can indicate that the market lacks buying pressure, potentially signalling an opportunity to enter a short position.
4. Combine VSA with Support and Resistance
Support and resistance levels are crucial in Forex trading. Use VSA to confirm whether a support level is likely to hold or break.
For instance, if the price approaches a support level with high volume but narrow spreads, it may indicate that buyers are stepping in to defend that level, suggesting a potential bounce.
Examples of Volume Spread Analysis Signals in Forex
Example 1: EUR/USD Bullish Reversal
The EUR/USD pair is in a downtrend, making new lows.
Suddenly, a climactic down bar with a very high volume appears, but the next bars start moving upward.
This suggests that selling pressure might have been exhausted, and buyers are taking control, making it a potential buy signal.
Example 2: GBP/USD Continuation in Uptrend
GBP/USD is in a strong uptrend, but it starts pulling back.
During the pullback, a No Supply bar appears with low volume, indicating a lack of selling interest.
This could be a good opportunity to buy, expecting the uptrend to continue.
Advantages of Using VSA in Forex
1. Better Insight into Market Moves
VSA provides deeper insights into the reasons behind price movements, helping you understand whether a trend is supported by strong volume or not.
2. Early Detection of Reversals
By spotting divergences between volume and price, VSA helps traders identify potential reversals before they become obvious to others.
3. Adaptable to Different Markets
Although popular in stocks, VSA can also be effectively applied to the Forex market using tick volume, making it a versatile tool for traders.
Drawbacks of Volume Spread Analysis
1. Requires Practice: It takes time to understand the details of volume and spread analysis. It’s important to practice on demo accounts before trading live.
2. Subjectivity: VSA can be subjective since different traders might interpret volume and spread data differently. It’s essential to develop your own approach and refine it through experience.
Frequently Asked Questions
1. Can VSA be used with other trading strategies?
Yes, VSA works well with other trading strategies like support and resistance, moving averages, and trendlines. Combining VSA with these tools can increase the accuracy of your trades.
2. Is tick volume reliable for VSA in Forex?
While tick volume is not the same as real volume, it still provides a good estimate of trading activity in the Forex market. Many traders find that tick volume is sufficient for applying VSA principles effectively.
3. Can beginners use VSA for Forex trading?
Yes. While VSA has a learning curve, beginners can start by focusing on the basics of volume and spread. As you gain experience, you can delve deeper into the more complex aspects of the analysis.
Conclusion
Volume Spread Analysis offers a unique perspective on the Forex market, allowing traders to see beyond price movements and understand the hidden dynamics of buying and selling pressure.
When you analyze how volume interacts with price spread, traders can make more informed decisions, spotting potential reversals and continuation patterns with greater accuracy.
While it requires practice and patience, mastering VSA can give you a valuable edge in the competitive world of Forex trading.